Considering how close a number of the games looked (and ended up being) pretty happy to have picked 7 of the 9 winners this week. Obviously Gold Coast the massive upset that I'm not sure anyone would've picked and the Collingwood win turned out to be far comprehensive than expected but overall a good round.
| Home | Away | Home Predicted Score | Away Predicted Score | Predicted Margin | Home Score | Away Score | Margin | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St Kilda | Richmond | 71 | 101 | -31 | 57 | 111 | -54 | -23.25 |
| Collingwood | North Melbourne | 93 | 91 | 2 | 130 | 64 | 66 | 63.56 |
| Sydney | Gold Coast | 100 | 47 | 53 | 64 | 88 | -24 | -76.98 |
| Essendon | Fremantle | 92 | 73 | 18 | 99 | 70 | 29 | 10.79 |
| Brisbane Lions | Adelaide | 90 | 91 | -1 | 88 | 93 | -5 | -4.15 |
| Geelong | Melbourne | 91 | 80 | 11 | 100 | 98 | 2 | -9.33 |
| Carlton | Hawthorn | 53 | 102 | -48 | 52 | 124 | -72 | -23.58 |
| West Coast | Western Bulldogs | 98 | 66 | 32 | 100 | 46 | 54 | 22.15 |
| Port Adelaide | GW Sydney | 76 | 71 | 5 | 58 | 80 | -22 | -27.47 |
7/9 correct tips for the round takes the season total to 100 while a round MAE of 29.03 increases the season MAE to 28.24 Season Bits increases slightly to 21.90.
Updated ratings
| Team | Offensive Rating | Defensive Rating | Overall Rating | Last Offensive Rating | Last Defensive Rating | Last Overall Rating | Overall Change | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richmond | 9.09188 | 11.6596 | 20.7515 | 8.32713 | 10.5646 | 18.8917 | 1.859761 | 0 |
| Melbourne | 16.4731 | 2.20086 | 18.674 | 15.0435 | 2.88401 | 17.9275 | 0.746495 | 0 |
| West Coast | 7.63351 | 9.10499 | 16.7385 | 7.47391 | 7.49255 | 14.9665 | 1.772029 | 0 |
| Collingwood | 8.68163 | 5.3423 | 14.0239 | 5.74607 | 3.19306 | 8.93913 | 5.084805 | 2 |
| Geelong | 5.25028 | 6.25095 | 11.5012 | 4.56713 | 7.68059 | 12.2477 | -0.746495 | -1 |
| GW Sydney | 3.29736 | 6.93054 | 10.2279 | 2.57687 | 5.45369 | 8.03055 | 2.197342 | 2 |
| Port Adelaide | -3.23973 | 9.86337 | 6.62364 | -1.76288 | 10.5839 | 8.82099 | -2.197342 | 0 |
| Hawthorn | 1.57466 | 4.44374 | 6.0184 | -0.198912 | 4.33071 | 4.13179 | 1.886607 | 2 |
| Sydney | -2.4395 | 8.32669 | 5.88719 | 0.407832 | 11.6381 | 12.0459 | -6.158735 | -4 |
| Adelaide | 3.03157 | 0.158246 | 3.18981 | 2.88017 | -0.0224907 | 2.85768 | 0.332135 | 1 |
| Essendon | 0.0200043 | 1.8861 | 1.9061 | -0.574999 | 1.61804 | 1.04304 | 0.863065 | 1 |
| North Melbourne | 3.67566 | -3.36064 | 0.315025 | 5.8249 | -0.425073 | 5.39983 | -5.084805 | -3 |
| Brisbane Lions | 3.12848 | -7.75876 | -4.63028 | 3.30922 | -7.60736 | -4.29814 | -0.332135 | 0 |
| St Kilda | -4.95558 | -6.63228 | -11.5879 | -3.86057 | -5.86754 | -9.72811 | -1.859761 | 0 |
| Fremantle | -11.6246 | -3.0317 | -14.6563 | -11.3566 | -2.43669 | -13.7933 | -0.863065 | 0 |
| Western Bulldogs | -10.8435 | -7.81169 | -18.6552 | -9.23108 | -7.6521 | -16.8832 | -1.772029 | 0 |
| Gold Coast | -18.6723 | -13.0455 | -31.7178 | -21.9837 | -15.8929 | -37.8766 | 6.158735 | 1 |
| Carlton | -18.4821 | -16.1152 | -34.5972 | -18.369 | -14.3416 | -32.7106 | -1.886607 | -1 |