What a weird and wonderful round of footy. After 2 scores with both teams scoring 100+ points in the first 14 rounds we had 3 in one week. Unfortunately for the model it was a less successful round with only 3 of the 9 tips coming in correctly.
| Home | Away | Home Predicted Score | Away Predicted Score | Predicted Margin | Home Score | Away Score | Margin | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richmond | Sydney | 78 | 91 | -13 | 93 | 67 | 26 | 38.75 |
| Western Bulldogs | Geelong | 60 | 94 | -34 | 103 | 101 | 2 | 35.67 |
| Carlton | Port Adelaide | 53 | 95 | -42 | 69 | 90 | -21 | 20.79 |
| Adelaide | West Coast | 76 | 86 | -10 | 88 | 78 | 10 | 19.72 |
| Gold Coast | Collingwood | 59 | 107 | -47 | 60 | 99 | -39 | 8.29 |
| GW Sydney | Hawthorn | 79 | 73 | 6 | 95 | 84 | 11 | 5.21 |
| Melbourne | St Kilda | 107 | 76 | 31 | 117 | 119 | -2 | -33.39 |
| Essendon | North Melbourne | 81 | 88 | -6 | 125 | 108 | 17 | 23.26 |
| Fremantle | Brisbane Lions | 90 | 82 | 8 | 64 | 119 | -55 | -62.7 |
Despite only 3/9 correct tips the model and had a MAE of 27.53 decreasing the season MAE to 28.67.
Updated ratings
| Team | Offensive Rating | Defensive Rating | Overall Rating | Last Offensive Rating | Last Defensive Rating | Last Overall Rating | Overall Change | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richmond | 8.79923 | 10.6731 | 19.4724 | 7.59958 | 8.77307 | 16.3726 | 3.099722 | 2 |
| Sydney | 1.21159 | 13.8805 | 15.092 | 3.11165 | 15.0801 | 18.1918 | -3.099722 | -1 |
| Melbourne | 13.833 | 0.0117053 | 13.8447 | 13.0337 | 3.48214 | 16.5158 | -2.671133 | -1 |
| Collingwood | 8.32819 | 4.37397 | 12.7022 | 8.94221 | 4.42337 | 13.3656 | -0.663425 | 1 |
| Geelong | 3.00802 | 9.1528 | 12.1608 | 2.45416 | 12.5606 | 15.0148 | -2.853943 | -1 |
| Port Adelaide | 2.02142 | 9.22524 | 11.2467 | 2.43626 | 10.4738 | 12.91 | -1.663381 | 0 |
| West Coast | 4.82132 | 5.46073 | 10.282 | 5.46679 | 6.39292 | 11.8597 | -1.577666 | 0 |
| GW Sydney | 2.67471 | 5.13258 | 7.80729 | 1.36425 | 6.02649 | 7.39074 | 0.416547 | 0 |
| North Melbourne | 4.83452 | -0.280687 | 4.55384 | 3.20105 | 3.21381 | 6.41485 | -1.861017 | 0 |
| Hawthorn | -0.921304 | 5.33991 | 4.41861 | -1.81522 | 6.65038 | 4.83516 | -0.416547 | 0 |
| Adelaide | -0.109665 | 1.30734 | 1.19767 | -1.04186 | 0.661868 | -0.379992 | 1.577666 | 0 |
| Essendon | 0.546957 | -0.141709 | 0.405248 | -2.94754 | 1.49177 | -1.45577 | 1.861017 | 0 |
| Western Bulldogs | -7.40925 | -3.46839 | -10.8776 | -10.8171 | -2.91453 | -13.7316 | 2.853943 | 1 |
| Brisbane Lions | -0.707368 | -11.7378 | -12.4451 | -3.66271 | -13.7988 | -17.4615 | 5.016335 | 2 |
| St Kilda | -4.84583 | -8.08458 | -12.9304 | -8.31627 | -7.28528 | -15.6015 | 2.671133 | 0 |
| Fremantle | -9.2085 | -5.56513 | -14.7736 | -7.14751 | -2.60978 | -9.75729 | -5.016335 | -3 |
| Carlton | -14.9107 | -10.1056 | -25.0162 | -16.1592 | -10.5204 | -26.6796 | 1.663381 | 0 |
| Gold Coast | -20.4188 | -16.7092 | -37.128 | -20.4682 | -17.3232 | -37.7914 | 0.663425 | 0 |