The last bye rounds is done and we're back to 9 games a round for the remainder of the season. Only 4 correct tips but 3 margins predicted by under 2 goals is a reasonable round without being anything special.
| Home | Away | Home Predicted Score | Away Predicted Score | Predicted Margin | Home Score | Away Score | Margin | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Coast | Essendon | 94 | 72 | 21 | 52 | 80 | -28 | -49.19 |
| Port Adelaide | Melbourne | 86 | 87 | -1 | 75 | 65 | 10 | 11.35 |
| Hawthorn | Gold Coast | 98 | 54 | 44 | 96 | 43 | 53 | 9.13 |
| Brisbane Lions | GW Sydney | 75 | 94 | -19 | 82 | 109 | -27 | -7.69 |
| Western Bulldogs | North Melbourne | 70 | 94 | -24 | 75 | 77 | -2 | 22.47 |
| Collingwood | Carlton | 113 | 64 | 50 | 79 | 59 | 20 | -29.67 |
Overall the model tipped 4/6 and had a MAE of 21.58 decreases the season MAE to 28.75.
Updated ratings
| Team | Offensive Rating | Defensive Rating | Overall Rating | Last Offensive Rating | Last Defensive Rating | Last Overall Rating | Overall Change | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sydney | 3.41928 | 14.7725 | 18.1918 | 4.35719 | 13.074 | 17.4312 | 0.760594 | 0 |
| Melbourne | 13.3319 | 3.18396 | 16.5158 | 15.1115 | 2.31236 | 17.4239 | -0.908060 | 0 |
| Richmond | 7.89006 | 8.48258 | 16.3726 | 8.09616 | 8.45337 | 16.5495 | -0.176884 | 0 |
| Geelong | 2.76902 | 12.2457 | 15.0148 | 2.79823 | 12.0396 | 14.8379 | 0.176884 | 2 |
| Collingwood | 9.21843 | 4.14715 | 13.3656 | 11.9721 | 3.7668 | 15.7389 | -2.373351 | 0 |
| Port Adelaide | 2.75817 | 10.1519 | 12.91 | 3.62977 | 8.37222 | 12.002 | 0.908060 | 1 |
| West Coast | 5.817 | 6.04271 | 11.8597 | 9.14706 | 6.64746 | 15.7945 | -3.934807 | -3 |
| GW Sydney | 1.69636 | 5.69438 | 7.39074 | 0.487974 | 6.28744 | 6.77541 | 0.615332 | 1 |
| North Melbourne | 3.52057 | 2.89428 | 6.41485 | 4.89955 | 3.31318 | 8.21272 | -1.797868 | -1 |
| Hawthorn | -1.50528 | 6.34043 | 4.83516 | -1.36354 | 5.46847 | 4.10493 | 0.730228 | 0 |
| Adelaide | -0.724392 | 0.3444 | -0.379992 | 3.00547 | 0.298664 | 3.30414 | -3.684129 | 0 |
| Essendon | -2.63625 | 1.18048 | -1.45577 | -3.241 | -2.14958 | -5.39058 | 3.934807 | 0 |
| Fremantle | -6.80385 | -2.95344 | -9.75729 | -8.19171 | -5.39944 | -13.5911 | 3.833857 | 0 |
| Western Bulldogs | -10.5128 | -3.21881 | -13.7316 | -10.9317 | -4.59778 | -15.5295 | 1.797868 | 1 |
| St Kilda | -7.99525 | -7.60629 | -15.6015 | -7.03718 | -6.98235 | -14.0195 | -1.582005 | -1 |
| Brisbane Lions | -3.34602 | -14.1155 | -17.4615 | -3.93908 | -12.9071 | -16.8462 | -0.615332 | 0 |
| Carlton | -15.8571 | -10.8225 | -26.6796 | -15.4768 | -13.5762 | -29.053 | 2.373351 | 0 |
| Gold Coast | -20.1168 | -17.6746 | -37.7914 | -19.2448 | -17.8164 | -37.0612 | -0.730228 | 0 |