First perfect round of the year (even if there was only 6 games, I'll claim it) and a great result in the final game of the round makes it a satisfactory weekend.
| Home | Away | Home Predicted Score | Away Predicted Score | Predicted Margin | Home Score | Away Score | Margin | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Port Adelaide | Western Bulldogs | 82 | 57 | 25 | 132 | 75 | 57 | 32.39 |
| Sydney | West Coast | 84 | 78 | 5 | 72 | 57 | 15 | 9.51 |
| Carlton | Fremantle | 77 | 86 | -9 | 46 | 103 | -57 | -47.92 |
| Gold Coast | St Kilda | 70 | 92 | -22 | 78 | 80 | -2 | 19.78 |
| Hawthorn | Adelaide | 89 | 79 | 10 | 88 | 32 | 56 | 46.05 |
| Geelong | Richmond | 65 | 86 | -20 | 65 | 83 | -18 | 2.21 |
Overall the model tipped 6/6 and had a MAE of 26.31 increases the season MAE slightly to 29.14.
Updated ratings
| Team | Offensive Rating | Defensive Rating | Overall Rating | Last Offensive Rating | Last Defensive Rating | Last Overall Rating | Overall Change | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sydney | 3.24927 | 14.9425 | 18.1918 | 4.18932 | 13.2418 | 17.4312 | 0.760594 | 1 |
| Melbourne | 14.9505 | 2.47339 | 17.4239 | 15.5232 | 6.22669 | 21.7499 | -4.326020 | -1 |
| Richmond | 7.72952 | 8.64312 | 16.3726 | 7.93498 | 8.61455 | 16.5495 | -0.176884 | 1 |
| West Coast | 8.95986 | 6.83466 | 15.7945 | 10.6605 | 5.89461 | 16.5551 | -0.760594 | -1 |
| Collingwood | 11.8199 | 3.919 | 15.7389 | 8.06663 | 3.34628 | 11.4129 | 4.326020 | 1 |
| Geelong | 2.59501 | 12.4197 | 15.0148 | 2.62358 | 12.2143 | 14.8379 | 0.176884 | -1 |
| Port Adelaide | 3.45562 | 8.54637 | 12.002 | -0.565719 | 9.97678 | 9.41106 | 2.590932 | 1 |
| North Melbourne | 4.72214 | 3.49058 | 8.21272 | 5.57871 | 4.86454 | 10.4433 | -2.230529 | -1 |
| GW Sydney | 0.307122 | 6.46829 | 6.77541 | -2.93698 | 3.61711 | 0.680129 | 6.095282 | 1 |
| Hawthorn | -1.5302 | 5.63513 | 4.10493 | -1.48217 | 1.90297 | 0.420802 | 3.684129 | 1 |
| Adelaide | -0.899841 | 0.519849 | -0.379992 | 2.83232 | 0.47182 | 3.30414 | -3.684129 | -2 |
| Essendon | -3.40669 | -1.98389 | -5.39058 | -2.77844 | -4.17189 | -6.95033 | 1.559756 | 0 |
| Fremantle | -6.99377 | -2.76351 | -9.75729 | -8.37708 | -5.21407 | -13.5911 | 3.833857 | 1 |
| Western Bulldogs | -11.1006 | -4.42881 | -15.5295 | -12.5311 | -0.407468 | -12.9385 | -2.590932 | -1 |
| St Kilda | -8.17266 | -7.42888 | -15.6015 | -7.20894 | -6.81059 | -14.0195 | -1.582005 | 0 |
| Brisbane Lions | -4.11141 | -12.7347 | -16.8462 | -1.92341 | -13.363 | -15.2864 | -1.559756 | 0 |
| Carlton | -15.6433 | -13.4097 | -29.053 | -13.1927 | -12.0264 | -25.2191 | -3.833857 | 0 |
| Gold Coast | -19.4344 | -17.6268 | -37.0612 | -20.0527 | -18.5905 | -38.6432 | 1.582005 | 0 |