| Home | Away | Home Predicted Score | Away Predicted Score | Predicted Margin | Home Score | Away Score | Margin | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Port Adelaide | Richmond | 73 | 83 | -10 | 72 | 58 | 14 | 24.13 |
| Geelong | North Melbourne | 79 | 70 | 9 | 96 | 59 | 37 | 27.88 |
| GW Sydney | Gold Coast | 93 | 62 | 32 | 134 | 26 | 108 | 76.19 |
| St Kilda | Sydney | 64 | 100 | -36 | 55 | 126 | -71 | -34.99 |
| Brisbane Lions | Essendon | 89 | 92 | -3 | 62 | 84 | -22 | -19.5 |
| Fremantle | Adelaide | 75 | 95 | -21 | 71 | 68 | 3 | 23.68 |
| Melbourne | Collingwood | 98 | 86 | 12 | 91 | 133 | -42 | -54.08 |
Overall the model tipped 5/9 and had a MAE of 37.27 increases the season MAE slightly to 29.30.
Updated ratings
| Team | Offensive Rating | Defensive Rating | Overall Rating | Last Offensive Rating | Last Defensive Rating | Last Overall Rating | Overall Change | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sydney | 4.0374 | 13.3938 | 17.4312 | 1.92283 | 12.7089 | 14.6318 | 2.799388 | 3 |
| Melbourne | 14.8048 | 2.61912 | 17.4239 | 15.3778 | 6.37209 | 21.7499 | -4.326020 | -1 |
| West Coast | 10.493 | 6.06209 | 16.5551 | 10.225 | 7.73726 | 17.9623 | -1.407167 | 0 |
| Richmond | 7.78912 | 8.76041 | 16.5495 | 9.79161 | 8.68844 | 18.4801 | -1.930525 | -2 |
| Collingwood | 11.6822 | 4.05673 | 15.7389 | 7.92923 | 3.48368 | 11.4129 | 4.326020 | 1 |
| Geelong | 2.46553 | 12.3723 | 14.8379 | 1.09535 | 11.512 | 12.6073 | 2.230529 | -1 |
| Port Adelaide | -0.719973 | 10.131 | 9.41106 | -0.648001 | 8.12853 | 7.48053 | 1.930525 | 1 |
| North Melbourne | 4.5616 | 3.65112 | 8.21272 | 5.42196 | 5.0213 | 10.4433 | -2.230529 | -1 |
| GW Sydney | 0.14346 | 6.63195 | 6.77541 | -3.09683 | 3.77696 | 0.680129 | 6.095282 | 1 |
| Adelaide | 2.67562 | 0.628518 | 3.30414 | 4.85413 | 0.3448 | 5.19893 | -1.894789 | -1 |
| Hawthorn | -1.63091 | 2.05172 | 0.420802 | -0.777324 | 0.457986 | -0.319338 | 0.740140 | 0 |
| Essendon | -3.55663 | -1.83395 | -5.39058 | -2.9241 | -4.02623 | -6.95033 | 1.559756 | 0 |
| Western Bulldogs | -12.6806 | -0.257894 | -12.9385 | -11.2337 | -0.75006 | -11.9838 | -0.954746 | 1 |
| Fremantle | -8.54483 | -5.04632 | -13.5911 | -8.26111 | -7.22483 | -15.4859 | 1.894789 | 2 |
| St Kilda | -7.36437 | -6.65516 | -14.0195 | -6.67956 | -4.54059 | -11.2201 | -2.799388 | -2 |
| Brisbane Lions | -4.26736 | -12.5788 | -16.8462 | -2.07508 | -13.2113 | -15.2864 | -1.559756 | -1 |
| Carlton | -13.3392 | -11.8799 | -25.2191 | -13.9567 | -12.7839 | -26.7406 | 1.521529 | 0 |
| Gold Coast | -20.2191 | -18.4241 | -38.6432 | -17.3641 | -15.1838 | -32.5479 | -6.095282 | 0 |