Not a terrible round but nothing really to write home about. Underpredicted a few blowouts which can happen so happy to have been able to keep the MAE under 30 despite the one sided results.
| Home | Away | Home Predicted Score | Away Predicted Score | Predicted Margin | Home Score | Away Score | Margin | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sydney | Carlton | 102 | 53 | 49 | 91 | 61 | 30 | -19.02 |
| Western Bulldogs | Melbourne | 69 | 106 | -37 | 51 | 100 | -49 | -11.93 |
| Hawthorn | Port Adelaide | 75 | 81 | -6 | 64 | 61 | 3 | 9.25 |
| Gold Coast | Geelong | 61 | 90 | -30 | 36 | 121 | -85 | -55.24 |
| Essendon | Richmond | 69 | 96 | -27 | 43 | 114 | -71 | -43.67 |
| West Coast | St Kilda | 98 | 67 | 31 | 101 | 88 | 13 | -17.59 |
| North Melbourne | Brisbane Lions | 96 | 77 | 19 | 141 | 87 | 54 | 35.08 |
| Collingwood | Fremantle | 91 | 68 | 23 | 138 | 77 | 61 | 37.67 |
| Adelaide | GW Sydney | 86 | 72 | 14 | 81 | 97 | -16 | -29.89 |
Overall the model tipped 7/9 and had a MAE of 28.81 increases the season MAE slightly to 28.74.
Updated ratings
| Team | Offensive Rating | Defensive Rating | Overall Rating | Last Offensive Rating | Last Defensive Rating | Last Overall Rating | Overall Change | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Melbourne | 15.3226 | 6.42735 | 21.7499 | 15.8159 | 4.97922 | 20.7952 | 0.954746 | 0 |
| Richmond | 9.73785 | 8.74221 | 18.4801 | 8.29678 | 6.69005 | 14.9868 | 3.493226 | 2 |
| West Coast | 10.4294 | 6.12573 | 16.5551 | 10.1639 | 7.79839 | 17.9623 | -1.407167 | -1 |
| Sydney | 1.86552 | 12.7663 | 14.6318 | 2.77125 | 13.3821 | 16.1533 | -1.521529 | -1 |
| Geelong | 1.03673 | 11.5706 | 12.6073 | -1.4141 | 9.60229 | 8.1882 | 4.419150 | 2 |
| Collingwood | 7.87701 | 3.5359 | 11.4129 | 4.15619 | 4.24317 | 8.39936 | 3.013548 | -1 |
| North Melbourne | 5.36239 | 5.08087 | 10.4433 | 1.75339 | 5.88378 | 7.63717 | 2.806082 | 1 |
| Port Adelaide | -0.704956 | 8.18549 | 7.48053 | 0.891715 | 7.32896 | 8.22067 | -0.740140 | -2 |
| Adelaide | 4.79699 | 0.401937 | 5.19893 | 5.2042 | 2.38579 | 7.59 | -2.391069 | 0 |
| GW Sydney | -3.15758 | 3.83771 | 0.680129 | -5.14144 | 3.4305 | -1.71094 | 2.391069 | 1 |
| Hawthorn | -1.68744 | 2.10824 | 0.420802 | -0.830911 | 0.511573 | -0.319338 | 0.740140 | -1 |
| Essendon | -2.97946 | -3.97087 | -6.95033 | -0.927303 | -2.5298 | -3.45711 | -3.493226 | 0 |
| St Kilda | -6.73821 | -4.48194 | -11.2201 | -8.41087 | -4.21645 | -12.6273 | 1.407167 | 3 |
| Western Bulldogs | -12.7375 | -0.20105 | -12.9385 | -11.2893 | -0.69443 | -11.9838 | -0.954746 | -1 |
| Brisbane Lions | -2.13272 | -13.1537 | -15.2864 | -2.93563 | -9.54469 | -12.4803 | -2.806082 | 0 |
| Fremantle | -8.32244 | -7.16349 | -15.4859 | -9.02972 | -3.44267 | -12.4724 | -3.013548 | -2 |
| Carlton | -13.3949 | -11.8242 | -25.2191 | -14.0107 | -12.7299 | -26.7406 | 1.521529 | 0 |
| Gold Coast | -17.4259 | -15.122 | -32.5479 | -15.4576 | -12.6711 | -28.1287 | -4.419150 | 0 |