Fairly strong result overall for the round, only Melbourne's blowout of Gold Coast was off by moer than 30 points. Would've liked to have a few other results under the 2 goal mark but having 8/9 under 30 points is a positive with the one really close result in the Western Bulldogs-Brisbane game.
| Home | Away | Home Predicted Score | Away Predicted Score | Predicted Margin | Home Score | Away Score | Margin | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hawthorn | Sydney | 85 | 75 | 10 | 71 | 79 | -8 | -17.78 |
| GW Sydney | West Coast | 81 | 82 | -1 | 61 | 86 | -25 | -24.16 |
| Carlton | Essendon | 77 | 88 | -12 | 91 | 78 | 13 | 24.59 |
| Gold Coast | Melbourne | 73 | 96 | -23 | 77 | 146 | -69 | -46.18 |
| Port Adelaide | Adelaide | 75 | 92 | -17 | 95 | 90 | 5 | 21.51 |
| Western Bulldogs | Brisbane Lions | 93 | 80 | 13 | 107 | 93 | 14 | 1 |
| Fremantle | St Kilda | 81 | 80 | 1 | 89 | 59 | 30 | 29.08 |
| North Melbourne | Richmond | 74 | 97 | -23 | 72 | 82 | -10 | 12.95 |
| Collingwood | Geelong | 84 | 90 | -6 | 45 | 66 | -21 | -14.82 |
Overall 7/9 tips right and a MAE of 21.34 brings the season MAE down to 28.24.
Updated ratings
| Team | Offensive Rating | Defensive Rating | Overall Rating | Last Offensive Rating | Last Defensive Rating | Last Overall Rating | Overall Change | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richmond | 6.38327 | 14.3067 | 20.69 | 7.58071 | 14.1455 | 21.7263 | -1.036241 | 0 |
| Geelong | 1.91313 | 12.5881 | 14.5012 | 3.83162 | 9.48424 | 13.3159 | 1.185360 | 1 |
| Sydney | 2.16916 | 11.9322 | 14.1014 | 1.88126 | 10.7974 | 12.6787 | 1.422686 | 1 |
| West Coast | 5.83514 | 8.0109 | 13.846 | 5.49176 | 6.4217 | 11.9135 | 1.932582 | 1 |
| Adelaide | 8.67581 | 4.47414 | 13.1499 | 8.80486 | 6.0655 | 14.8704 | -1.720415 | -3 |
| Port Adelaide | 0.140045 | 7.83619 | 7.97623 | -1.45132 | 7.70714 | 6.25582 | 1.720415 | 3 |
| Melbourne | 4.68955 | 2.84941 | 7.53895 | 0.651649 | 3.19258 | 3.84423 | 3.694726 | 3 |
| Hawthorn | 1.7353 | 4.1496 | 5.88489 | 2.87008 | 4.4375 | 7.30758 | -1.422686 | -2 |
| Collingwood | 1.22187 | 4.62733 | 5.8492 | 4.32572 | 2.70884 | 7.03456 | -1.185360 | -2 |
| GW Sydney | -5.01412 | 9.40203 | 4.38791 | -3.42492 | 9.74541 | 6.32049 | -1.932582 | -2 |
| North Melbourne | -3.29099 | 5.65305 | 2.36206 | -3.12979 | 4.45561 | 1.32582 | 1.036241 | 0 |
| Fremantle | -8.78305 | 0.163064 | -8.61999 | -9.45849 | -1.48803 | -10.9465 | 2.326525 | 2 |
| Western Bulldogs | -7.8646 | -1.25667 | -9.12127 | -8.97158 | -0.22938 | -9.20096 | 0.079685 | -1 |
| Essendon | -5.9742 | -5.89291 | -11.8671 | -5.1345 | -4.76521 | -9.8997 | -1.967399 | -1 |
| St Kilda | -12.5995 | -1.59196 | -14.1915 | -10.9484 | -0.916525 | -11.8649 | -2.326525 | 0 |
| Carlton | -13.3419 | -7.53599 | -20.8779 | -14.4696 | -8.37569 | -22.8453 | 1.967399 | 2 |
| Brisbane Lions | -8.37531 | -12.7976 | -21.1729 | -9.40261 | -11.6906 | -21.0933 | -0.079685 | 0 |
| Gold Coast | -14.9692 | -9.45172 | -24.421 | -15.3124 | -5.41383 | -20.7262 | -3.694726 | -2 |
Melbourne were the big improvers this week after thier big win over Gold Coast, Fremantle, Carlton, West Coast and Port Adelaide also all improved significantly on the back of thier victories. On the other side Gold Coast, St Kilda, Essendon, GWS and Adelaide, all on the receiving end of the above wins, were the biggest to fall.
Melbourne and Port Adelaide both jumped 3 spots, while Fremantle and Carlton also moved up 2 spots. Adelaide moved down 3 spots while Gold Coast, GWS, Hawthorn and Collingwood all fell 2 spots.